We make no claim that these plays win. Two pre-registered studies, both published in full, found this market cannot be out-forecast at the moment we can act: a market-blind model lost to the de-vigged consensus in every season and market tested, and buying the best available price returned less than the vig it was paying. So this is not sold as an edge. It is sold as process and receipts — the whole slate reasoned through from market prices, one play we would actually act on, and every one of them graded here in public, win or lose. Football is staked at zero units.
8 covered · 1 no market · decision moment 2026-08-29T18:00:00Z
no writeup (generation failed)
| Side | Jacksonville State Gamecocks |
|---|---|
| Best takeable price | +230 at betrivers |
| Tier-1 books at or near it | 2 |
| De-vigged fair (this side) | 30.4% |
| Eligible books | 10 |
| Overround, consensus → best | 4.349 → 2.906 pts |
One play, 0 units, committed before kickoff and fingerprinted. The side, the price and the numbers publish here after the week is graded — win or lose. Members get it before kickoff.
6 further games passed our coverage markers this week. Their numbers and write-ups are the members' product and publish here once the week is graded. They are withheld for a specific reason rather than a commercial one: the selection rule is public and deterministic, so printing every game's numbers before kickoff would hand over the premium play exactly, and a paywall over that would be theatre. The matchups are listed so you can see nothing was added later.
Every game we could not cover, with the reason. Published in full at all times: a game we cannot cover is a game we have no play on, so this leaks nothing and it is the proof that nothing was quietly dropped.
| Game | Why |
|---|---|
| San Jose State Spartans @ USC Trojans | NO MARKET (1 eligible books, need 5) |