OPEN LEDGER SPORTS Football · process and receipts, not predictions
Football

The football record

We make no claim that these plays win. Two pre-registered studies, both published in full, found this market cannot be out-forecast at the moment we can act: a market-blind model lost to the de-vigged consensus in every season and market tested, and buying the best available price returned less than the vig it was paying. So this is not sold as an edge. It is sold as process and receipts — the whole slate reasoned through from market prices, one play we would actually act on, and every one of them graded here in public, win or lose. Football is staked at zero units.

Every graded play

Append-only. Nothing is edited, nothing is deleted, losses publish exactly like wins. Zero units throughout — the P&L column is what one unit would have returned, not money risked.

No week has been graded yet. This table is empty because the season has not started, not because nothing has been published — an empty record and a hidden one look identical, so we say which this is.

Weeks

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