Football · process and receipts, not predictions

Automated football recommendations are paused

New recommendations will not resume until a new strategy is validated. Cards below are historical records, not current betting instructions. Original selections and results remain visible, including losses.

Football · slate week Tuesday, September 8, 2026

72 games covered, one play

We make no claim that these plays win. Two pre-registered studies, both published in full, found this market cannot be out-forecast at the moment we can act: a market-blind model lost to the de-vigged consensus in every season and market tested, and buying the best available price returned less than the vig it was paying. So this is not sold as an edge. It is sold as process and receipts — the whole slate reasoned through from market prices, one play we would actually act on, and every one of them graded here in public, win or lose. Football is staked at zero units.

Record reset disclosed: pre-launch test history. Official cohort starts September 11, 2026 under fp-v0.4; earlier boards retain their original rules.

Manual review. More than a quarter of this week's games failed our coverage markers, so we are not calling this slate covered. Every exclusion is listed below with its reason.

72 covered · 46 no market · decision moment 2026-09-12T18:00:00Z

Invalidated incident slate. This entire slate was excluded from official performance on September 13, 2026, after its two featured picks had settled as losses. All cards, original commitments and results remain available. Classification disclosure.

The free play

NCAA FBS · UCF Knights @ Pittsburgh Panthers

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	UCF Knights
Historical captured price	+240 at draftkings
Tier-1 books at or near it	3
De-vigged fair (this side)	29.1%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	3.987 → 2.015 pts

The premium play

NCAA FBS · New Mexico State Aggies @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	New Mexico State Aggies
Historical captured price	+250 at draftkings
Tier-1 books at or near it	3
De-vigged fair (this side)	28.4%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.357 → 1.905 pts

The rest of the slate

All 70 other covered games, ranked by how tight their market was.

NCAA FBS · Richmond Spiders @ NC State Wolfpack

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Richmond Spiders
Historical captured price	+4000 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	3
De-vigged fair (this side)	2.7%
Eligible books	5
Overround, consensus → best	1.951 → 0.924 pts

NCAA FBS · Delaware Blue Hens @ Vanderbilt Commodores

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Delaware Blue Hens
Historical captured price	+1000 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	10.6%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.444 → 1.399 pts

NCAA FBS · Texas Southern Tigers @ UTEP Miners

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Texas Southern Tigers
Historical captured price	+2000 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	6.0%
Eligible books	5
Overround, consensus → best	4.076 → 1.536 pts

NCAA FBS · Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles @ Auburn Tigers

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
Historical captured price	+3300 at betmgm
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	3.9%
Eligible books	5
Overround, consensus → best	3.01 → 1.707 pts

NCAA FBS · Utah State Aggies @ Washington Huskies

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Utah State Aggies
Historical captured price	+1900 at betrivers
Tier-1 books at or near it	6
De-vigged fair (this side)	5.7%
Eligible books	10
Overround, consensus → best	3.922 → 1.774 pts

NCAA FBS · Appalachian State Mountaineers @ East Carolina Pirates

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Appalachian State Mountaineers
Historical captured price	+215 at draftkings
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	31.8%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.762 → 1.895 pts

NCAA FBS · Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Sam Houston State Bearkats

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Sam Houston State Bearkats
Historical captured price	+460 at betrivers
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	19.0%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.417 → 1.984 pts

NCAA FBS · Louisiana Ragin Cajuns @ USC Trojans

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Historical captured price	+3000 at betmgm
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	4.3%
Eligible books	8
Overround, consensus → best	3.467 → 1.991 pts

NCAA FBS · Sacramento State Hornets @ Fresno State Bulldogs

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Sacramento State Hornets
Historical captured price	+750 at betmgm
Tier-1 books at or near it	5
De-vigged fair (this side)	12.0%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.167 → 2.241 pts

NCAA FBS · Southern Utah Thunderbirds @ Colorado State Rams

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Southern Utah Thunderbirds
Historical captured price	+1050 at fanatics
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	9.5%
Eligible books	6
Overround, consensus → best	4.496 → 2.244 pts

NCAA FBS · Oklahoma Sooners @ Michigan Wolverines

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Michigan Wolverines
Historical captured price	+185 at betmgm
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	34.4%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	3.968 → 2.301 pts

NCAA FBS · Oklahoma Sooners @ Michigan Wolverines

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Michigan Wolverines
Historical captured price	+185 at betmgm
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	34.4%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	3.968 → 2.301 pts

NCAA FBS · Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Oregon State Beavers

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Oregon State Beavers
Historical captured price	+1700 at betrivers
Tier-1 books at or near it	6
De-vigged fair (this side)	6.1%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	3.055 → 2.33 pts

NCAA FBS · Cal Poly Mustangs @ San Jose State Spartans

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Cal Poly Mustangs
Historical captured price	+1200 at betrivers
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	8.3%
Eligible books	5
Overround, consensus → best	4.15 → 2.429 pts

NCAA FBS · San Diego State Aztecs @ UCLA Bruins

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	San Diego State Aztecs
Historical captured price	+400 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	20.0%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.167 → 2.456 pts

NFL · BUF @ HOU

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Buffalo Bills
Historical captured price	-116 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	52.8%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	3.771 → 2.484 pts

NCAA FBS · Lindenwood Lions @ Missouri State Bears

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Lindenwood Lions
Historical captured price	+700 at betrivers
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	13.1%
Eligible books	6
Overround, consensus → best	4.561 → 2.5 pts

NFL · CLE @ JAX

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Cleveland Browns
Historical captured price	+360 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	22.8%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.579 → 2.508 pts

NFL · NYJ @ TEN

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Tennessee Titans
Historical captured price	-115 at fanatics
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	52.2%
Eligible books	8
Overround, consensus → best	4.421 → 2.508 pts

NCAA FBS · Arizona Wildcats @ BYU Cougars

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Arizona Wildcats
Historical captured price	+255 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	28.3%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.095 → 2.528 pts

NCAA FBS · Iowa State Cyclones @ Iowa Hawkeyes

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Iowa State Cyclones
Historical captured price	+475 at betmgm
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	17.4%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.389 → 2.576 pts
Offshore, as colour only	+500 at mybookieag

NFL · CHI @ CAR

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Carolina Panthers
Historical captured price	+148 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	39.6%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.285 → 2.587 pts

NCAA FBS · UL Monroe Warhawks @ UAB Blazers

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	UAB Blazers
Historical captured price	-335 at betrivers
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	75.1%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.235 → 2.653 pts

NCAA FBS · Penn State Nittany Lions @ Temple Owls

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Temple Owls
Historical captured price	+1400 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	7.0%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.142 → 2.667 pts

NFL · MIA @ LV

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Las Vegas Raiders
Historical captured price	-159 at betrivers
Tier-1 books at or near it	3
De-vigged fair (this side)	59.9%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	3.931 → 2.712 pts

NCAA FBS · Arizona State Sun Devils @ Texas A&M Aggies

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Arizona State Sun Devils
Historical captured price	+540 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	3
De-vigged fair (this side)	15.6%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.139 → 2.722 pts

NCAA FBS · Arizona State Sun Devils @ Texas A&M Aggies

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Arizona State Sun Devils
Historical captured price	+540 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	3
De-vigged fair (this side)	15.7%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.272 → 2.722 pts

NFL · ARI @ LAC

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Arizona Cardinals
Historical captured price	+400 at williamhill_us
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	20.0%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.167 → 2.759 pts
Offshore, as colour only	+400 at betus

NCAA FBS · Memphis Tigers @ Boise State Broncos

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Memphis Tigers
Historical captured price	+280 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	26.0%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.039 → 2.786 pts

NCAA FBS · Washington State Cougars @ Kansas State Wildcats

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Washington State Cougars
Historical captured price	+680 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	6
De-vigged fair (this side)	12.8%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	3.81 → 2.821 pts

NCAA FBS · Washington State Cougars @ Kansas State Wildcats

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Washington State Cougars
Historical captured price	+680 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	6
De-vigged fair (this side)	12.8%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	3.81 → 2.821 pts

NCAA FBS · Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ Purdue Boilermakers

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Purdue Boilermakers
Historical captured price	+135 at fanatics
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	41.4%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.193 → 2.871 pts
Offshore, as colour only	+135 at lowvig

NFL · ATL @ PIT

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Atlanta Falcons
Historical captured price	+230 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	30.1%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.42 → 2.906 pts

NCAA FBS · Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Marshall Thundering Herd

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Historical captured price	+425 at betmgm
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	19.0%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.417 → 2.919 pts

NCAA FBS · Oregon Ducks @ Oklahoma State Cowboys

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Oklahoma State Cowboys
Historical captured price	+1200 at fanatics
Tier-1 books at or near it	5
De-vigged fair (this side)	8.0%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.167 → 2.93 pts

NCAA FBS · Oregon Ducks @ Oklahoma State Cowboys

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Oklahoma State Cowboys
Historical captured price	+1200 at fanatics
Tier-1 books at or near it	5
De-vigged fair (this side)	8.0%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.167 → 2.93 pts

NFL · WAS @ PHI

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Philadelphia Eagles
Historical captured price	-235 at betmgm
Tier-1 books at or near it	3
De-vigged fair (this side)	68.5%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	3.968 → 2.936 pts

NFL · GB @ MIN

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Green Bay Packers
Historical captured price	+110 at fanatics
Tier-1 books at or near it	3
De-vigged fair (this side)	46.5%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.491 → 2.976 pts

NCAA FBS · Alabama State Hornets @ Troy Trojans

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Alabama State Hornets
Historical captured price	+1050 at fanatics
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	9.1%
Eligible books	5
Overround, consensus → best	4.762 → 2.981 pts

NCAA FBS · California Golden Bears @ Syracuse Orange

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Syracuse Orange
Historical captured price	-175 at betrivers
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	61.8%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	3.968 → 3.006 pts

NCAA FBS · Tennessee Volunteers @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Historical captured price	+390 at betrivers
Tier-1 books at or near it	6
De-vigged fair (this side)	20.2%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.386 → 3.017 pts

NCAA FBS · Navy Midshipmen @ Florida Atlantic Owls

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Florida Atlantic Owls
Historical captured price	+170 at draftkings
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	36.3%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	3.838 → 3.023 pts

NCAA FBS · Northern Colorado Bears @ Wyoming Cowboys

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Northern Colorado Bears
Historical captured price	+1500 at fanatics
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	6.4%
Eligible books	5
Overround, consensus → best	3.889 → 3.024 pts

NCAA FBS · Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ Ohio Bobcats

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Historical captured price	+115 at williamhill_us
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	45.2%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.251 → 3.033 pts

NCAA FBS · Buffalo Bulls @ Florida International Panthers

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Buffalo Bulls
Historical captured price	+333 at betmgm
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	22.8%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.202 → 3.095 pts

NCAA FBS · Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Minnesota Golden Gophers

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Minnesota Golden Gophers
Historical captured price	-105 at draftkings
Tier-1 books at or near it	2
De-vigged fair (this side)	49.9%
Eligible books	8
Overround, consensus → best	4.875 → 3.143 pts

NCAA FBS · Colgate Raiders @ Central Michigan Chippewas

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Colgate Raiders
Historical captured price	+1300 at betrivers
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	7.4%
Eligible books	5
Overround, consensus → best	3.846 → 3.143 pts

NCAA FBS · Colgate Raiders @ Central Michigan Chippewas

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Colgate Raiders
Historical captured price	+1300 at betrivers
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	7.4%
Eligible books	5
Overround, consensus → best	3.846 → 3.143 pts

NCAA FBS · North Dakota State Bison @ Air Force Falcons

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Air Force Falcons
Historical captured price	+110 at williamhill_us
Tier-1 books at or near it	3
De-vigged fair (this side)	46.4%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.684 → 3.175 pts

NCAA FBS · Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ Boston College Eagles

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Boston College Eagles
Historical captured price	-160 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	59.9%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	3.931 → 3.205 pts

NFL · SF @ LA

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Los Angeles Rams
Historical captured price	-198 at draftkings
Tier-1 books at or near it	5
De-vigged fair (this side)	64.6%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	3.978 → 3.208 pts

NCAA FBS · Georgia State Panthers @ Kennesaw State Owls

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Georgia State Panthers
Historical captured price	+270 at fanatics
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	26.2%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.409 → 3.218 pts
Offshore, as colour only	+289 at betonlineag

NFL · NO @ DET

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	New Orleans Saints
Historical captured price	+270 at draftkings
Tier-1 books at or near it	5
De-vigged fair (this side)	26.6%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.522 → 3.218 pts

NCAA FBS · Duke Blue Devils @ Illinois Fighting Illini

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Duke Blue Devils
Historical captured price	+190 at draftkings
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	33.6%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.318 → 3.233 pts

NCAA FBS · Eastern Michigan Eagles @ Michigan State Spartans

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Michigan State Spartans
Historical captured price	-900 at draftkings
Tier-1 books at or near it	5
De-vigged fair (this side)	87.2%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.242 → 3.333 pts

NCAA FBS · Alabama Crimson Tide @ Kentucky Wildcats

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Alabama Crimson Tide
Historical captured price	-375 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	76.6%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.39 → 3.338 pts

NCAA FBS · South Alabama Jaguars @ Tulane Green Wave

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Tulane Green Wave
Historical captured price	-375 at betmgm
Tier-1 books at or near it	3
De-vigged fair (this side)	76.5%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.308 → 3.338 pts

NCAA FBS · Old Dominion Monarchs @ Virginia Tech Hokies

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Virginia Tech Hokies
Historical captured price	-1100 at draftkings
Tier-1 books at or near it	5
De-vigged fair (this side)	88.7%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.072 → 3.431 pts

NCAA FBS · Old Dominion Monarchs @ Virginia Tech Hokies

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Virginia Tech Hokies
Historical captured price	-1100 at draftkings
Tier-1 books at or near it	5
De-vigged fair (this side)	88.7%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.072 → 3.431 pts

NCAA FBS · South Florida Bulls @ Army Black Knights

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Army Black Knights
Historical captured price	-164 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	5
De-vigged fair (this side)	60.2%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.63 → 3.444 pts

NCAA FBS · South Florida Bulls @ Army Black Knights

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Army Black Knights
Historical captured price	-164 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	5
De-vigged fair (this side)	60.2%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.63 → 3.444 pts

NCAA FBS · Missouri Tigers @ Kansas Jayhawks

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Kansas Jayhawks
Historical captured price	+180 at draftkings
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	34.8%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	3.843 → 3.456 pts

NCAA FBS · Wofford Terriers @ Kent State Golden Flashes

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Wofford Terriers
Historical captured price	+410 at betrivers
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	19.5%
Eligible books	5
Overround, consensus → best	4.408 → 3.479 pts

NCAA FBS · Wofford Terriers @ Kent State Golden Flashes

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	PASS: outside launch moneyline range (20%-80% fair, max +400)
Side	Wofford Terriers
Historical captured price	+410 at betrivers
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	19.5%
Eligible books	5
Overround, consensus → best	4.408 → 3.479 pts

NCAA FBS · Illinois State Redbirds @ Northern Illinois Huskies

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Northern Illinois Huskies
Historical captured price	+165 at fanatics
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	36.6%
Eligible books	6
Overround, consensus → best	4.571 → 3.489 pts
Offshore, as colour only	+175 at bovada

NCAA FBS · UTSA Roadrunners @ Texas State Bobcats

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Texas State Bobcats
Historical captured price	-122 at draftkings
Tier-1 books at or near it	4
De-vigged fair (this side)	53.2%
Eligible books	9
Overround, consensus → best	4.336 → 3.499 pts
Offshore, as colour only	-120 at bovada

NCAA FBS · Ohio State Buckeyes @ Texas Longhorns

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Ohio State Buckeyes
Historical captured price	+102 at williamhill_us
Tier-1 books at or near it	5
De-vigged fair (this side)	47.8%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.545 → 3.633 pts
Offshore, as colour only	+105 at lowvig

NFL · BAL @ IND

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Indianapolis Colts
Historical captured price	+150 at fanatics
Tier-1 books at or near it	5
De-vigged fair (this side)	38.7%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	3.797 → 3.636 pts
Offshore, as colour only	+153 at lowvig

NCAA FBS · UNLV Rebels @ North Texas Mean Green

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	North Texas Mean Green
Historical captured price	+136 at draftkings
Tier-1 books at or near it	6
De-vigged fair (this side)	40.9%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.092 → 3.911 pts

NFL · TB @ CIN

no writeup (generation failed)

Selection eligibility	eligible
Side	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Historical captured price	+172 at fanduel
Tier-1 books at or near it	6
De-vigged fair (this side)	35.4%
Eligible books	11
Overround, consensus → best	4.113 → 3.978 pts
Offshore, as colour only	+177 at lowvig

No market

Every game we could not cover, with the reason. Published in full at all times: a game we cannot cover is a game we have no play on, so this leaks nothing and it is the proof that nothing was quietly dropped.

Game	Why
NE @ SEA	corroboration guard (1 book at best price)
NE @ SEA	corroboration guard (1 book at best price)
DAL @ NYG	no T-24 capture yet (nearest is 33.7h before kickoff)
Florida A&M Rattlers @ Miami Hurricanes	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
Mercyhurst Lakers @ New Mexico Lobos	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
Villanova Wildcats @ Louisville Cardinals	NO MARKET (1 eligible books, need 5)
Norfolk State Spartans @ Virginia Cavaliers	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
Arkansas Razorbacks @ Utah Utes	corroboration guard (1 book at best price)
East Tennessee State Buccaneers @ North Carolina Tar Heels	NO MARKET (1 eligible books, need 5)
Howard Bison @ Indiana Hoosiers	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs @ Liberty Flames	NO MARKET (4 eligible books, need 5)
Wagner Seahawks @ James Madison Dukes	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ Georgia Bulldogs	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ Georgia Bulldogs	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
Holy Cross Crusaders @ Miami (OH) RedHawks	NO MARKET (3 eligible books, need 5)
UT Martin Skyhawks @ West Virginia Mountaineers	NO MARKET (1 eligible books, need 5)
Holy Cross Crusaders @ Miami (OH) RedHawks	NO MARKET (3 eligible books, need 5)
UT Martin Skyhawks @ West Virginia Mountaineers	NO MARKET (1 eligible books, need 5)
Stony Brook Seawolves @ Ball State Cardinals	NO MARKET (4 eligible books, need 5)
Maryland Terrapins @ UConn Huskies	corroboration guard (1 book at best price)
Rice Owls @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
Robert Morris Colonials @ Akron Zips	NO MARKET (4 eligible books, need 5)
Central Connecticut Blue Devils @ Toledo Rockets	NO MARKET (1 eligible books, need 5)
Weber State Wildcats @ Colorado Buffaloes	NO MARKET (2 eligible books, need 5)
Wagner Seahawks @ James Madison Dukes	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
Sacred Heart Pioneers @ UMass Minutemen	NO MARKET (4 eligible books, need 5)
Mercyhurst Lakers @ New Mexico Lobos	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
UC Davis Aggies @ SMU Mustangs	NO MARKET (4 eligible books, need 5)
Campbell Fighting Camels @ Florida Gators	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
Gardner-Webb Runnin Bulldogs @ Liberty Flames	NO MARKET (4 eligible books, need 5)
Monmouth Hawks @ Western Michigan Broncos	corroboration guard (1 book at best price)
Bowling Green Falcons @ Nebraska Cornhuskers	corroboration guard (1 book at best price)
Western Carolina Catamounts @ Cincinnati Bearcats	NO MARKET (2 eligible books, need 5)
Southern University Jaguars @ Houston Cougars	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
Towson Tigers @ South Carolina Gamecocks	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
West Georgia Wolves @ Arkansas State Red Wolves	NO MARKET (4 eligible books, need 5)
Western Illinois Leathernecks @ Wisconsin Badgers	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
Georgia Southern Eagles @ Clemson Tigers	corroboration guard (1 book at best price)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs @ LSU Tigers	NO MARKET (2 eligible books, need 5)
Fordham Rams @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	NO MARKET (2 eligible books, need 5)
Charlotte 49ers @ Ole Miss Rebels	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
Prairie View A&M Panthers @ Baylor Bears	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
Grambling State Tigers @ TCU Horned Frogs	NO MARKET (0 eligible books, need 5)
Cal Poly Mustangs @ San Jose State Spartans	corroboration guard (1 book at best price)
Arkansas Razorbacks @ Utah Utes	corroboration guard (1 book at best price)
Montana State Bobcats @ Nevada Wolf Pack	corroboration guard (1 book at best price)

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