Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies
Graded — this page is the complete record.
The lean (0 units — logged, not staked)
Philadelphia Phillies ML · confidence 53.3% of 10,000 sims · 0u
Freddy Peralta (4.56 ERA, 1.33 WHIP) vs Cristopher Sánchez (2.93 ERA, 1.22 WHIP).
Projected 4.2–4.6; sim total 8.8 against a 9.5 line; park factor 1.01.
No market feed captured for this game's board.
Circuit-breaker log (4 checks)
- Rule 2 check passed: model-fair (no market line) line -114 within the night-game juice cap (-180; night -180, day -170, day = first pitch before 17:00 venue-local).
- Rule 4 check passed: both starters carry full-season workloads.
- Rule 6 check passed: away 14-day wOBA 0.291 vs league 0.317 (gap +0.026, threshold 0.035).
- Rules 3/5 (velocity/spin telemetry): manual review required: Statcast feed not wired.
No stake rode on this game. The lean and its failed gates above are the whole position: passing is a position too.
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