MLB · Saturday, September 26, 20269:40 PM ET · Sutter Health Park

Houston Astros @ Athletics

Graded — this page is the complete record.

The lean (0 units — logged, not staked)

Houston Astros ML · confidence 54.5% of 10,000 sims · 0u

Hayden Wesneski (3.50 ERA, 1.15 WHIP) vs Jack Perkins (5.90 ERA, 1.45 WHIP).

Projected 5–4.5; sim total 9.5 against a 9.5 line; park factor 1.02.

No market feed captured for this game's board.

Circuit-breaker log (4 checks)

Rule 2 check passed: model-fair (no market line) line -120 within the night-game juice cap (-180; night -180, day -170, day = first pitch before 17:00 venue-local).
Rule 4 flag: Hayden Wesneski under 60 IP this deep in the season (limited workload / possible IL return). Volume freeze: confidence downgraded one tier.
Rule 6 check passed: away 14-day wOBA 0.332 vs league 0.316 (gap -0.015, threshold 0.035).
Rules 3/5 (velocity/spin telemetry): manual review required: Statcast feed not wired.

No stake rode on this game. The lean and its failed gates above are the whole position: passing is a position too.