The slate for Saturday, September 26, 2026: 13 games, no qualifying plays
13 games on the slate, 11 simulated 10,000 times each, and nothing cleared the gates — no manufactured pick, no exceptions. 2 scratched by rule. The full board, with every circuit-breaker check printed, is on the site.
Yesterday on the ledger
No staked plays were graded for Friday, September 25, 2026 — the gates published nothing, so nothing rode. Passing is a position too, and it grades itself.
Running ledger: 4-6 · -2.25u · ROI -34.7%, every entry public and append-only.
Today's slate, game by game
| First pitch | Game | Starters (ERA) | Projected score | Sim total / line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:35 PM ET | New York Mets @ Washington Nationals | Jonah Tong (4.21) vs Connelly Early (3.44) | 4.4–4.7 | 9.2 / 9.5 |
| 1:10 PM ET | Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers | Kirby Yates (3.32) vs Justin Verlander (12.27) | 4.6–4.3 | 8.8 / 9.5 |
| 3:07 PM ET | Cincinnati Reds @ Toronto Blue Jays | Rhett Lowder (6.01) vs Trey Yesavage (3.67) | 4.1–4.8 | 8.8 / 9.5 |
| 4:05 PM ET | Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants | Blake Snell (1.86) vs Matt Wilkinson (3.65) | 4.5–3.8 | 8.3 / 8.5 |
| 4:10 PM ET | Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins | Nathan Eovaldi (4.27) vs Bailey Ober (4.21) | 4.3–4.7 | 9 / 9.5 |
| 4:10 PM ET | Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins | Brent Suter (3.48) vs Jack Ralston (4.50) | 4.4–4.1 | 8.5 / 8.5 |
| 7:10 PM ET | Cleveland Guardians @ Kansas City Royals | Tanner Bibee (4.35) vs Michael Wacha (3.33) | 4.4–4.5 | 8.9 / 9.5 |
| 7:10 PM ET | Colorado Rockies @ Chicago White Sox | Jose Quintana (5.40) vs Davis Martin (3.84) | 4.4–5.3 | 9.7 / 9.5 |
| 7:10 PM ET | St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers | Quinn Mathews (3.65) vs Dustin May (4.67) | 3.9–4.8 | 8.7 / 8.5 |
| 9:40 PM ET | Houston Astros @ Athletics | Hayden Wesneski (3.50) vs Jack Perkins (5.90) | 5–4.5 | 9.5 / 9.5 |
| 9:40 PM ET | Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners | Ryan Johnson (4.93) vs Kade Anderson (4.18) | 4–4.2 | 8.2 / 8.5 |
| 7:15 PM ET | Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies | Scratched — Rule 7: Late-Line Circuit Breaker: Starter TBD for PHI inside the pre-game window. Automatic scratch, no position. | ||
| 8:40 PM ET | Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres | Scratched — Rule 7: Late-Line Circuit Breaker: Starter TBD for AZ inside the pre-game window. Automatic scratch, no position. | ||
Projections are the engine's 10,000-simulation averages, already blended toward the de-vigged market. ★ marks the free pick. Held plays show no numbers on purpose: a projection plus a total is most of a pick. Every matchup links to its permanent pick page, which completes once the game grades.
No qualifying plays — and the best of what remained
Today's ✳ Best of Board is Milwaukee Brewers ML (St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers) at 0 units: the model's top remaining choice, published with every gate it failed. We show it so you can see the reasoning; we don't stake it, and it never enters the ledger.
Three angles a bettor would actually check
- The mound mismatch: Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers. Kirby Yates (3.32 ERA) against Justin Verlander (12.27) is a 8.9-run ERA gap. The engine stabilizes both with FIP and innings before believing it — a raw ERA gap this wide usually shrinks under the hood, and the market has already priced most of what survives.
- The cold bats: St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers. Rule 6 fired — the road offense's trailing-14-day wOBA sits far enough under league that the engine taxes its scoring 8%, a size set by a full-season backtest, printed on the card.