Atlanta Braves @ Miami Marlins
Graded — this page is the complete record.
The lean (0 units — logged, not staked)
Miami Marlins ML · confidence 51.4% of 10,000 sims · 0u
JR Ritchie (4.79 ERA, 1.46 WHIP) vs Janson Junk (4.31 ERA, 1.31 WHIP).
Projected 4.3–4.4; sim total 8.7 against a 8.5 line; park factor 0.95.
No market feed captured for this game's board.
Circuit-breaker log (4 checks)
- Rule 2 check passed: model-fair (no market line) line -106 within the day-game juice cap (-170; night -180, day -170, day = first pitch before 17:00 venue-local).
- Rule 4 check passed: both starters carry full-season workloads.
- Rule 6 check passed: away 14-day wOBA 0.314 vs league 0.316 (gap +0.001, threshold 0.035).
- Rules 3/5 (velocity/spin telemetry): manual review required: Statcast feed not wired.
No stake rode on this game. The lean and its failed gates above are the whole position: passing is a position too.
All games this day · Pick archive · The Morning Line for this date