Colorado Rockies @ Chicago White Sox
Graded — this page is the complete record.
The lean (0 units — logged, not staked)
Chicago White Sox ML · confidence 55.7% of 10,000 sims · 0u
Kyle Freeland (6.58 ERA, 1.52 WHIP) vs Anthony Kay (4.53 ERA, 1.37 WHIP).
Projected 4.7–5.4; sim total 10.1 against a 10.5 line; park factor 1.03.
No market feed captured for this game's board.
Circuit-breaker log (5 checks)
- Rule 2 check passed: model-fair (no market line) line -126 within the day-game juice cap (-170; night -180, day -170, day = first pitch before 17:00 venue-local).
- Rule 4 check passed: both starters carry full-season workloads.
- Rule 6 check passed: away 14-day wOBA 0.328 vs league 0.316 (gap -0.013, threshold 0.035).
- Rules 3/5 (velocity/spin telemetry): manual review required: Statcast feed not wired.
- ✳ Best of Board: the gates left no held plays today, so this is the model's top remaining lean — 0 units, NOT staked, published for transparency. The checks above show exactly which gate it failed.
No stake rode on this game. The lean and its failed gates above are the whole position: passing is a position too.
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