Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners
Graded — this page is the complete record.
The lean (0 units — logged, not staked)
Seattle Mariners ML · confidence 52.0% of 10,000 sims · 0u
Yusei Kikuchi (4.88 ERA, 1.55 WHIP) vs Logan Gilbert (3.81 ERA, 1.10 WHIP).
Projected 3.9–4.1; sim total 7.9 against a 8.5 line; park factor 0.92.
No market feed captured for this game's board.
Circuit-breaker log (4 checks)
- Rule 2 check passed: model-fair (no market line) line -108 within the day-game juice cap (-170; night -180, day -170, day = first pitch before 17:00 venue-local).
- Rule 4 check passed: both starters carry full-season workloads.
- Rule 6 check passed: away 14-day wOBA 0.302 vs league 0.316 (gap +0.014, threshold 0.035).
- Rules 3/5 (velocity/spin telemetry): manual review required: Statcast feed not wired.
No stake rode on this game. The lean and its failed gates above are the whole position: passing is a position too.
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